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The UK government has announced this week that it is to roll out a screening programme – “Health MOTs” – checking blood pressure, height, weight, age, current medication, family history and whether a patient smokes and include a simple blood test to check cholesterol and, in some cases, sugar.

Patients with abnormal results will be offered advice, blood pressure drugs and/or statins.

Announcing the plans, Alan Johnson, the Health Secretary, said screening could save 2,000 lives a year

This is an old but much peddled nonsense.

The mortality rate for human beings is 100%. Everybody dies. Reducing the numbers of people dying from one particular disease inevitably increases the numbers dying from something else – people don’t die healthy! But there is virtually no debate at all about this. I’ve never read a single piece of research which asks the question – if less people die from heart disease and strokes, what will they die from instead? Does anybody know? Does anybody care? Well, they should do.

Let me be clear. If there are effective interventions and treatments for any diseases, we should use them. I’m not saying it would be good NOT to reduce heart disease. However, I’d like to know two things – firstly, those who have been treated after a heart disease risk factor is picked up in screening…….what life experience do they have? What diseases are increased in this group? (do we see more cancer, more dementia, more degenerative diseases for example?) And, secondly, more specifically what is the life experience of this group who are put onto drugs for decades after screening? (lifestyle interventions are likely to have positive impacts on a wide range of diseases, but drugs for preventing specific diseases only, at best, impact on those particular diseases)

I think that we need to start thinking of health, not in the short term, but from what has been termed a “life course” perspective. Without that, we are barreling in, at best, semi-blind.

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Here’s an astonishing calculation. In England, in 2006, there were 16 million admissions to hospitals. That’s an astonishing number for a population of about 50 million!

As if that’s not astonishing enough, 6.5% of those admissions were for patients who were suffering from the bad effects of prescribed medicines. That works out at 1,040,000 patients!

At an average of £228 per day as the cost of a hospital stay and and an average of 8 days admission for each of these patients, the cost to the NHS in England in 2006 was £1,896,960,000.

Compass, the organisation which made this calculation concludes –

“Now is the time for a debate about costs and policies about which drugs the healthcare service can afford as people are paying infinitely higher prices – the drugs bill to the NHS now stands at £11bn – for increasingly marginal rewards and higher risk from adverse drug reactions.”

These figures are part of a trend. Every year the drugs bill gets higher and every year the cost of treating people for the adverse effects of prescribed drugs goes up. This isn’t a sustainable path. Is anybody thinking we need a re-think about health care?

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Favourite trees

I think trees have a special place in human imagination. Forests have mythical status, offering protection, or harbouring threat. It’s probably partly because trees can live for so many more years than humans can. During the “great flu” early in the twentieth century which killed millions of people, sangomas in Africa, and shamans in Alaska claimed that the villages which were built around great trees had far fewer deaths from flu than those which weren’t. I don’t think that’s ever been shown to be true, but it shows how the myths of the protective power of trees is universal. A great tree can have protective powers, can be a source of healing. I could tell you a couple of really interesting stories about healing trees, but I’ll leave them to another post.

My grandfather would talk about “The Big Tree” and I have a very clear image in my head of a black and white photo of him standing under “The Big Tree”. It’s a tree growing in one of the main streets of Kirkwall, in Orkney. I also remember seeing that tree enclosed in iron railings. I always thought that was a bit sad, as if the tree was imprisoned, although I suspect the railings were there to protect the tree.

The Man Who Planted Trees, by Jean Giono, is one of my most favourite books. It’s a true hero story, a narrative of the power of one person’s actions in transforming the world. American readers are probably familiar with Johnny Appleseed, which has similar narrative characteristics. I can also recommend The Story of Yew, by Guido Mina di Sospiro, whose narrator is a tree. It’s botanically informative, opening your eyes to the amazing wonder of trees, and it’s a thought-provoking tale which makes you think about life. The third book on my bookshelf about trees is Eucalyptus, by the Australian author, Murray Bail, a kind of classic fairy tale of the man who wants the hand of the princess and has to complete the challenge set by her father to do so. The challenge is to name every one of the hundreds of Eucalyptus trees he has planted on his ground.

So, in the light of that, have a look at this photo –

Castle tree

I expect you can see lots of trees around Stirling Castle here, but there’s one, right up there by the castle which catches your eye, isn’t there?

Tree closer

That tree is one of my all time favourites. I see it probably every day. Have you got any favourite trees? Like to tell me about them?

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sugar with that?, originally uploaded by bobsee.

We all have different rhythms, and different ways of getting going, or keeping going.
Popped into Tinderbox (the Byres Road one) recently for breakfast and saw this cup lying on the next table.
Can you imagine taking this much sugar in your coffee to get going every morning?

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the colour of light, originally uploaded by bobsee.

What colour is light?

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the colour of the sky, originally uploaded by bobsee.

I swear the colours we see in the sky constantly change and even after days, and weeks, and months and years of skies, we still look up sometimes, and think, WOW, that’s BEAUTIFUL

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the colour of the forest, originally uploaded by bobsee.

I love this kind of forest. It’s a very typical, not man-made, Scottish forest. I love it when the forest floor of ferns turns this amazing coppery brown colour

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the colour of stone, originally uploaded by bobsee.

These stones are only visible when the water level in the stream is low.
I love the greenish blues of some of them in amongst the grey ones

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the colour of water, originally uploaded by bobsee.

This is a waterfall and stream (we call a small stream a “burn” in Scotland) on Skye.
Look at the colours in the water.
Aren’t they lovely?
This photo set me off checking out the colours of different natural phenomena. You’ll find the others in the coming days here under titles “the colour of……”

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The BMJ has published a report criticising the way drugs are regulated in Europe

Silvio Garattini and Vittorio Bertele of the Mario Negri Institute for Pharmacological Research in Milan are critical of the dominance of pharmaceutical industry priorities in bringing drugs to market. They appeal for a more patient and doctor led priorities.

There are two common issues which doctors and patients have about prescription drugs – firstly, the drugs which are available often don’t work for individual patients, so there is always a desire for drugs which work better than the ones currently available; and secondly, drug company priorities are more market driven – they are more likely to fund research into drugs for developed countries problems than developing countries problems, even though many more people die from common diseases in those latter countries. The reason why the first problem is not addressed by the current system is summed up in the article –

New drugs have only to show they are of good quality, effective, and safe, independently of any reference or comparison to drugs already on the market. This results in overuse of trials against placebo. Even when new drugs are compared with existing treatments, the trials often seek to show equivalence or non-inferiority rather than superiority to those already available. Such trials could allow drugs into the market that are less active or safe than those in current clinical use. This is because the non-inferiority limit includes a higher incidence of adverse events. The wider the limits the smaller the sample needed and consequently the higher the chance of missing a difference and concluding for non-inferiority. Sometimes limits are so wide that what is considered non-inferior statistically may be worse clinically

They conclude

It is unethical to experiment on patients with the sole aim of obtaining a marketing authorisation. New drugs should be required to have some added value (greater efficacy or less toxicity) to current treatments or be cheaper

So true. This is a European perspective but exactly the same problems are present in the US. And what about the majority of people in the world? How could the system be improved to meet the most pressing health needs in the world, rather than just in developed countries?

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